Sara Frueh interviews David Autor on the subject: “How Is AI Shaping the Future of Work?”. Here are some snippets that caught my eye, but it’s worth reading the essay
As we cross the midpoint of January 2026, the landscape of American finance and political discourse has been fundamentally rewritten. What was once a niche corner of the internet for statistics nerds and high-stakes contrarians has become the primary lens through which the public views reality. Today, "market-implied probability" is no longer just a metric; [...]
As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near the $95,600 mark this January 16, 2026, a curious divergence is emerging between the exuberant headlines of traditional finance and the cold, calculated skepticism of prediction markets. While retail investors celebrate a recovery from the volatile "Year of the Snake" in 2025, a growing segment of traders on platforms like [...]
Life is busy. Some mornings are rushed, many evenings are unpredictable, and very few days go exactly as planned. That's why I rely on foods that are familiar, easy to prepare, and nourishing for my family. Eggs have filled that role in my kitchen for years.
The global internet, a seemingly ethereal cloud of data, is anchored to the reality of thousands of miles of fiber-optic cables resting on the ocean floor. According to prediction market participants, that physical foundation is looking increasingly precarious. As of mid-January 2026, traders on platforms like Manifold Markets are pricing in a staggering 43% to [...]
As of January 16, 2026, the geopolitical landscape is being rewritten not just in the halls of diplomacy, but across the digital ledgers of global prediction markets. In a startling shift of sentiment, traders on platforms like Polymarket, Manifold Markets, and Kalshi are pricing in a historic "Winter of Discontent" for two of the world’s [...]
The landscape of retail finance has undergone a seismic shift, culminating in today's milestone as prediction markets move from the fringes of political junkies to the center of the mobile brokerage experience. As of January 16, 2026, the partnership between Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) and Kalshi has transformed "event contracts" into a multi-billion dollar asset class. [...]
As the winter legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of prediction markets in the United States is facing its most significant legal challenge to date. Following the explosive growth of event-based wagering during the 2024 election cycle, New York lawmakers are now moving to implement some of the most stringent regulations in the [...]
As the NFL playoffs enter their most high-stakes phase, a clear consensus is emerging not just from the sidelines, but from the high-frequency trading floors of prediction markets. The Seattle Seahawks have officially solidified their position as the favorites to win Super Bowl LX, currently trading at a 25% probability on Kalshi. With the championship [...]
As the calendar turns to January 16, 2026, the political landscape is already vibrating with the energy of the next race for the White House. While the 2024 inauguration feels like a recent memory, prediction markets are signaling that the 2028 cycle has effectively begun. Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position as the [...]
As the calendar turns toward late January 2026, a familiar sense of dread has returned to the halls of Congress and the screens of global investors. After the record-breaking 43-day shutdown that paralyzed the federal government in late 2025, a new "funding cliff" is fast approaching on January 31. This time, however, the uncertainty is [...]
On January 3, 2026, as U.S. Special Operations forces executed "Operation Absolute Resolve"—a daring nighttime raid on Nicolás Maduro’s compound in Caracas—the geopolitical landscape shifted in an instant. But while the world watched the dramatic extraction of the Venezuelan leader, a storm was already brewing in the digital trenches of prediction markets. Just hours before [...]
Join us as we explore Eli Lilly's impressive market position and financial health. Discover why this pharmaceutical giant is capturing investor attention and what the future may hold for its stock.
The last time small caps broke out of a multi-year base like this, they crushed large caps by over 20% in the following year. That same setup is forming right now. And almost nobody is paying attention.
These overlooked Dividend Kings offer accelerating dividend growth, improving profitability, and long-term bullish momentum that income investors can rely on for consistent returns in 2026.
MP Materials had a serious bull run in 2025, but with the weight of the U.S. military behind it, I think it has a long runway ahead of it for this year.
According to a Bloomberg report, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission is looking to scrutinize the practice of large tech companies hiring startup employees instead of acquiring the company.
Soybeans posted 4 to 5 cent gains across most contracts on Friday, as March was down just 4 ¾ cents on the week. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was 5 1/4 cents higher at $9.87 1/4. Soymeal futures up 80 cents to $2.40 higher, despite...
Live cattle futures closed the Friday session with contracts $3.90 to $4.50 lower. February was $1.57 lower this week. Cash trade this week centered in the $233 range across the South and $232-235 for the North. Feeder cattle gave back much of the s...
Lean hog futures saw slightly higher action in Friday, with contracts up 20 to 50 cents. February managed to close the week with a $2.97 gain. USDA’s national base hog price was at $74.78 reported on Friday afternoon. The CME Lean Hog Index was back...
Cotton futures were mostly steady on Friday, with contracts down 4 to 5 points in the front months, as March was 25 points higher on the week. Crude oil futures were up 11 cents per barrel at $59.30. The US dollar index was up $0.063 at $99.195. The...
Corn futures closed the Friday session with contracts 4 to 5 cents higher in the front months, taking back some early week losses. March was still down 21 cents on the week, a 4.71% loss. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price is up 6 cents a...
